Risk Management
signal quality scoring: building a market-aware trade gate
·2060 words
2:15 AM wednesday. apartment quiet. A. went to bed around midnight — she had a client deadline today so it was a long one. checked the colo heartbeat before sitting down to write this. normal. algos running clean for the first time since last monday.
tariff week post-mortem: what the data actually showed
·1510 words
2:30 AM monday. week one of what i’m calling “the post-tariff-chaos era” starts in a few hours.
last week was one of those that splits into a clear before and after. monday and tuesday felt like freefall — VIX went from 20 to 32 in about 36 hours, SPX dropped hard, options spreads blew out 3-4x, and my event risk throttle (which I built the week prior and wrote about here) was earning every line of code it took to build. then wednesday happened. whoever made the tariff pause call did it at 1:07 PM eastern and watching the S&P rip 8% in ninety minutes while running algorithms was… a lot.
event risk throttle: dynamic exposure scaling based on vol regime
·1889 words
2:30 AM monday. Q2 week 2 starts in a few hours.
Been sitting with something since Thursday when I posted the Q2 week 1 numbers. Said we were running at 60% position size - waiting for the health scoring system to validate before going full deployment.