Trading Performance
april done. built a signal quality gate with LightGBM.
·2161 words
2:15 AM. saturday.
april closed today. before I get into what I actually built this week I’ll do the quick numbers.
april final: +$15,800. minor revision down from the +$16,500 estimate I had wednesday — a few iron condor legs settled a tick or two against on friday’s close, plus a small NQ position gave back $430 into the bell. nothing significant. still a clean month.
may cycle setup: scanning the iv surface, automating strike selection
·1982 words
2:30 AM. wednesday.
april is basically wrapped. last weekly expiration cleared friday. monday was flat, tuesday had one small SPX position that ticked through on delta and I let it ride — closed today for +$1,100. running estimate: april MTD somewhere around +$16,500 when everything settles. YTD is going to land around +1.5%.
april theta harvest: weekly closed clean, colo queue backed up, thursday hit different
·1534 words
2:30 AM. friday night.
A. made chicken marsala — she does it maybe once a month and I forget every time how good it is. ate around 7, she went back to her desk, lights off in the bedroom by midnight. apartment’s quiet. been staring at P&L since 11.
q2 week 1: health scoring live, colo nic split, first numbers
·1679 words
2:15am friday.
Q2 week 1 is done. walked in from the kitchen, A. fell asleep at her desk again — laptop open, ambient music still running. grabbed a blanket from the couch and put it over her. then came back and pulled up the weekly numbers.
execution quality audit: q1 slippage cost me more than i thought
·1496 words
2:30am wednesday. april 1st. no this is not a joke post.
been staring at execution data for the last three hours and i have a headache. Q1 closed basically flat — detailed numbers in the march wrap. but flat is flat, and when i dug into why flat, the answer wasn’t strategy failure. it was execution bleed.
strategy health scoring: detecting algo decay before it wrecks your Q2
·1785 words
2:45am monday.
first trading day of Q2. Q1 is officially in the rearview — closed at basically flat, full numbers are in friday’s post. the weekend was heavy. not going into it right now. but Q2 starts regardless, and the algos don’t wait for you to process.
q1 close: final numbers, colo benchmarks, and q2 setup
·1211 words
friday night. Q1 officially in the books.
did the math earlier while A. was cooking. she noticed i went quiet and just left me to it. that’s one of the things i didn’t expect about being married — how well she reads when to give space. anyway.
q1 factor attribution: theta is the edge, delta drift is the problem
·1241 words
q1 is in the books. three months, roughly flat performance, and a clear pattern in the trade data that tells me exactly what needs to change for q2.
jan: +2.1%. feb: -1.3%. march: -0.9% (locked at friday close). quarter: -0.13% net. account moved from $1.196M to about $1.194M. call it flat with a slight downside tilt.
week 3 december - fomc done, christmas prep, light volume
·202 words
week 3 done.
FOMC behind us.
christmas ahead.
weekly numbers # starting (dec 15): $521,320
ending (dec 21): $523,890