markets closed.
labor day monday. first one as a married guy.
the plan for september #
vacation clarity still hitting different.
less FOMO. more patience.
august proved it - 14 trades at 86% win rate beats 22 trades at 80%.
september setup #
fall volatility usually picks up after labor day.
VIX been sitting around 14-15 all summer.
historically september is the worst month for stocks. mean return is negative.
means more premium to sell. more movement to capture.
what I’m watching #
fomc meeting: september 16-17
cpi: september 11
ppi: september 12
triple witching: september 19
lots of catalysts.
strategy adjustments #
options (60% allocation):
tightening DTE on premium plays. 14-21 days instead of 30-45.
want to capture theta decay faster as vol picks up.
crypto (30% allocation):
BTC holding 25k-27k range. watching for breakout either direction.
momentum algo ready to pounce.
futures (10% allocation):
might actually deploy ES algo this month. summer skip over.
realistic september targets #
target: +1.8% to +2.2% ($8,700 to $10,600)
september’s historically rough for stocks but good for volatility sellers.
will see.
2:22pm labor day. markets closed. september begins. first month back from vacation mindset. watching for fall volatility pickup. fomc sept 16-17, triple witching sept 19. target +1.8-2.2%.
-AK