one week left in august.
currently at +$5,575.
targeting +$6,000 by month end.
week 4 starts strong #
monday 8/21:
- mean reversion: TLT call spread +$405
- momentum: none (ranging regime)
day 1: +$405
august total: +$5,980
$20 away from $6k target.
mean reversion vs momentum comparison #
august mean reversion:
- trades: 14
- wins: 11
- losses: 3
- win rate: 79%
- net: +$3,980
august momentum:
- trades: 4
- wins: 4
- losses: 0
- win rate: 100%
- net: +$2,000
momentum crushing it but small sample size.
mean reversion carrying the load with higher trade frequency.
filter effectiveness #
august filters blocked:
- vol detection: 18 trades
- correlation limit: 7 trades
- time-of-day: 6 trades
- gap detection: 4 trades
estimated saves: ~$2,800
filters proving their worth.
account milestone #
current: $357,125
next milestone: $360,000
need $2,875 more.
probably hit it september.
momentum strategy decision #
collected 4 trades at 0.5% risk.
all winners so far.
plan: continue 0.5% risk rest of august.
decision point: after 20 total momentum trades, evaluate:
- if win rate >70% and profit factor >2.0 → increase to 1.0% risk
- if not → keep at 0.5% or pause strategy
what’s next #
last week of august.
protect profits. don’t give back gains.
conservative trading. quality over quantity.
target: 3-4 more trades to close month strong.
personal life #
A. staying over more frequently now. most weekends, couple weeknights per week.
she cooks, i help. learning from her.
never had this with previous girlfriends. feels different.
stable. comfortable. good.
3:35am monday. august week 4 starts. $20 from $6k target. one strong week to close month.
-AK