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august wrap - crushed goal by 50%

august done.

best month yet.

final numbers
#

goal: +$4,000

actual: +$6,340

beat goal by: +$2,340 (58.5% over target)

account growth
#

start august 1: $351,145 end august 31: $357,485 gain: +$6,340 (+1.81%)

weekly breakdown
#

week 1: +$2,065 week 2: +$1,805 week 3: +$1,705 week 4: +$765

total: 18 trades, 16 wins, 2 losses (89% win rate)

strategy performance
#

mean reversion:

  • trades: 14
  • win rate: 79% (11 wins, 3 losses)
  • net: +$4,340

momentum (new):

  • trades: 4
  • win rate: 100% (4 wins, 0 losses)
  • net: +$2,000

momentum small sample but promising.

6-month performance (march-august)
#

march start: $400,000 (before losses) august end: $357,485

timeline:

  • jan-mar: -$180,000 (learning period, painful)
  • apr: break-even (applying systems)
  • may: +$22,740
  • june: +$3,285
  • july: +$6,120
  • august: +$6,340

net since going live april: +$38,485 from $220k low = +17.5%

recovered from losses. profitable 4 months straight.

what worked this month
#

1. new filters

time-of-day, gap detection, correlation limits.

blocked 35 trades total.

estimated saved: $2,800.

2. momentum strategy

added regime diversification.

4 trades, all winners.

continuing at 0.5% risk.

3. timescaledb migration

10x faster backtesting.

can iterate strategies way faster.

4. discipline

followed rules. no revenge trading. consistent size.

best trade
#

august 16: momentum breakout +$520

captured trending move. trail stop worked perfectly.

worst trade
#

august 14: SPX put spread -$360

fought gap momentum. added gap filter after this.

learned from it.

comparison to july
#

july: +$6,120 (23 trades, 87% win rate) august: +$6,340 (18 trades, 89% win rate)

similar profit. fewer trades. higher win rate.

efficiency improving.

september goals
#

financial: +$5,000 (higher than august base goal)

strategy:

  • collect 20 momentum trades
  • if validated, increase to 1.0% risk
  • keep mean reversion unchanged

infrastructure:

  • research websocket feeds
  • optimize async pipeline further

personal: keep relationship with A. healthy, stay in therapy

risks ahead
#

1. momentum small sample

only 4 trades. need 20+ before confident.

2. market regime change

strategies work in current conditions.

if vol spikes >40, need adjustments.

3. overconfidence

4 profitable months ≠ figured it all out.

staying humble.

reflection on august
#

turned 20 last month (july 4).

9 months since parents died (dec 31).

mostly healed now. therapy helping.

dating A. for 2.5 months. she stays over frequently. stable.

trading crushing it. systems working. life is good.

looking ahead
#

continue what’s working.

don’t change winning strategies.

stay disciplined. stay humble.


11:40pm friday. august done. +$6,340. best month yet. crushed goal. september target: $5k.

-AK

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