july week 2 done.
recovered from monday red day.
week 2 trades #
monday 7/10: -$544 (3 trades, 1 win, 2 losses)
tuesday 7/11: +$385 (GLD put spread)
wednesday 7/12: +$635 (SPX call spread +$295, TLT put spread +$340)
thursday 7/13: +$280 (IWM call spread)
friday 7/14: +$405 (QQQ put spread)
total week 2: +$1,161 (8 trades, 6 wins, 2 losses)
july progress #
goal: +$3,500
week 1: +$840 week 2: +$1,161 total: +$2,001
remaining: +$1,499 in 2.5 weeks
on pace. need ~$600/week average.
tighter stops experiment #
ran -140% stops all week (down from -150%).
results so far:
- trades that hit stops: 3
- trades saved by tighter stop: 1 (saved $22)
- trades hurt by tighter stop: 2 (cost $360 combined, got whipsawed)
net impact: -$338 worse than old stops
conclusion after 8 trades: too early to tell, but leaning toward reverting to -150%.
need 20+ more trades before deciding.
profit target experiment #
also testing 55% profit target (up from 50%).
goal: increase avg win from $390 to $420.
results this week:
- avg win: $408 (5 winners × $408 = $2,040)
- up from historical $390
early indication: working. letting winners run slightly longer is helping.
continuing this test.
account status #
start july: $345,025 current july 14: $347,026 gain: +$2,001 (+0.58%)
3-month total (may-july): start may: $319,000 current: $347,026 gain: +$28,026 (+8.8%)
averaging ~2.9% per month.
what’s working #
1. vol detection: blocked 8 trades this week.
3 would’ve lost money based on market action after blocks.
estimated saved: ~$790.
2. correlation limits: rejected 3 position entries for high correlation.
avoiding concentration risk.
3. redis caching: data latency still at 0.3ms (99% cache hit rate).
faster execution = better fills.
4. communication with A.: told her about fantasy. she said yes. we did it.
relationship stronger. confidence higher.
what’s not working yet #
tighter stops: early data shows -140% stops might be worse than -150%.
getting whipsawed more often.
need more data but might revert.
personal update #
A.: things are fucking great.
1 month dating. zero red flags.
told her the fantasy. she was into it. we did it wednesday.
confidence in relationship way higher now.
therapy: saw Dr. R thursday.
told her i communicated the fantasy to A.
Dr. R: “proud of you. that took courage.”
me: “she said yes immediately. all that fear was wasted.”
Dr. R: “usually is.”
grief: 7 months since parents died.
mostly stable. occasional crying but rare now.
A. being supportive without being overbearing.
week 3 preview #
continue testing:
- 55% profit targets (working so far)
- -140% stops (not working so far, might revert)
aim for 6-8 trades.
need $600+ to stay on pace for $3,500 goal.
seeing A. saturday night. she’s staying over.
3:22pm friday. week 2 done. recovered from monday red day. up $2,001 for july. relationship with A. stronger than ever.
-AK