june week 3 finished. up $1,100 for the week.
best week yet.
week 3 trades #
monday 6/19:
- GLD call spread: +$290
tuesday 6/20:
- TLT put spread: +$380
- IWM put spread: +$245
wednesday 6/21:
- SPX call spread: +$185
total week 3: +$1,100 (4 trades, 4 wins, 0 losses)
perfect week. no losers.
june progress #
goal: +$3,000 week 1: +$780 week 2: +$635 week 3: +$1,100 total: +$2,515 remaining: +$485 in 1.5 weeks
basically done. need $485 more to hit goal.
at current pace (~$367/week), will finish around +$3,400 for june.
account trajectory #
start may 1: $319,000 end may 31: $341,740 (+$22,740, +7.1%) current june 21: $344,255 (+$2,515, +0.7% so far)
june pace is slower but more consistent.
zero big losses (largest was -$315 on june 8).
prefer steady wins over volatile swings.
what’s working right now #
1. vol detection:
blocked 11 trades this month that would’ve lost money.
estimated saved: ~$2,800.
system paid for itself 10x over.
2. correlation filtering:
keeping max correlation at 0.75 between positions.
avoided concentration risk 8 times this month.
3. position sizing discipline:
strict 1.25% risk per trade.
largest loss was $315 (well within tolerance).
4. profit targets:
closing at 50% profit or 2 DTE (whichever first).
not getting greedy. taking consistent wins.
strategy performance #
mean reversion (options):
- trades: 14
- win rate: 71% (10 wins, 4 losses)
- avg win: +$318
- avg loss: -$265
- net: +$2,120
vol selling (options):
- trades: 5
- win rate: 80% (4 wins, 1 loss)
- avg win: +$355
- avg loss: -$315
- net: +$1,105
crypto (automated):
- trades: 23 (bot running 24/7)
- win rate: 61% (14 wins, 9 losses)
- net: -$710 (still tuning this strategy)
total: +$2,515 (crypto drag is real, might pause that strategy)
personal update #
A.: seeing her wednesday night at her place.
been dating 10 days. going really well.
not clingy. smart. independent. hot.
might actually last past 2-3 months.
therapy: told Dr. R about A. progress.
Dr. R happy i’m taking it slow and not idealizing.
grief: parents died 6 months ago (dec 31).
mostly numb still. occasional random crying.
talked to A. about it sunday. she was cool about it.
risks ahead #
1. crypto strategy losing:
down $710 on crypto bot this month.
need to fix it or pause it.
eating into options gains.
2. overconfidence:
3 weeks of strong performance could make me sloppy.
staying disciplined. following rules strictly.
3. vol regime change:
strategies work in normal-to-elevated vol.
if VIX spikes above 35, need different approach.
week 4 plan #
need $485 to hit $3k goal.
at current pace, easy.
aim for 5-6 trades.
continue strict risk management.
probably pause crypto bot (debug over weekend).
crypto bot decision #
looking at the data: crypto bot is net negative.
options:
- pause it and focus on what’s working (options strategies)
- reduce size to 0.25% risk while tuning
- completely rebuild signal logic
leaning toward #1. pause it. focus on profitable strategies.
can always restart crypto later when fixed.
2:18am wednesday. week 3 done. best week yet. $485 away from june goal. probably pausing crypto bot.
-AK