week 3 october done.
recovery from week 2 losses.
week 3 numbers #
starting (oct 14): $441,360
ending (oct 17): $443,820
week 3 gain: +$2,460 (+0.56%)
trades: 8
wins: 6
losses: 2
win rate: 75%
solid recovery.
conditions normalized.
market conditions week 3 #
avg VIX: 16.8 (back to optimal from 18.9)
correlation: 0.58 (down from 0.68)
volume: 3.5M (stable)
regime stability: 0.73 (recovered from 0.61)
conditions returned to normal range.
regime shift reversed.
what worked #
monday-wednesday: +$1,680 (4 wins, 0 losses)
VIX normalized quickly.
filters opened back to 61% acceptance.
thursday-friday: +$780 (2 wins, 2 losses)
modest finish but positive.
filter performance #
acceptance rate: 61% (vs week 2 47%)
correctly reopened after regime stabilized.
regime confidence: 0.73
back to confident range.
system detecting improvement.
slippage tracking #
week 3 avg: 2.0 ticks
back to september levels.
lower vol = tighter spreads.
comparing week patterns #
week 1: +$1,920 (86% wr)
week 2: -$2,220 (33% wr)
week 3: +$2,460 (75% wr)
classic 2 positive, 1 negative pattern.
exactly what sustainable trading looks like.
month progress check #
week 1: +$1,920
week 2: -$2,220
week 3: +$2,460
month through 3 weeks: +$2,160 (+0.49%)
tracking toward flat to small positive month.
perfect for ytd management.
ytd update #
ytd (through oct 17): +$77,820 (+21.3%)
still above target.
october small gain acceptable.
need november-december flat or negative.
strategy note #
circuit breaker not needed week 3.
max loss thursday: -$380.
well below -$1,500 threshold.
filters preventing bad setups.
tonight (oct 17, 2:27am) #
week 3 solid.
+$2,460 (+0.56%).
75% win rate.
conditions normalized.
filters adapted correctly.
month positive through 3 weeks.
ytd on track.
2:27am thursday. week 3 october complete. +$2,460 (0.56%). 6 wins, 2 losses. VIX recovered to 16.8 from week 2 spike. filters reopened to 61% acceptance. slippage back to 2.0 ticks. month +$2,160 through 3 weeks. ytd +$77,820 (21.3%). recovery demonstrated.
-AK