week 4 june done.
target hit.
strong finish.
week 4 numbers #
starting (june 23): $467,460
ending (june 28): $469,440
week 4 gain: +$1,980 (+0.42%)
trades: 5
wins: 4
losses: 1
win rate: 80%
daily breakdown #
mon jun 23: +$520 (1 trade, 100% wr)
tue jun 24: +$680 (2 trades, 100% wr)
wed jun 25: +$420 (1 trade, 100% wr)
thu jun 26: -$140 (1 trade, loss)
fri jun 27: +$500 (0 trades - carried position)
5 trading days, 5 trades, 4 wins.
market conditions #
avg VIX: 16.2 (good)
avg correlation: 0.62 (acceptable)
avg volume: 3.1M contracts (low - summer)
avg slippage: 2.2 ticks (summer impact)
conditions: acceptable for summer
volume decline expected.
trade distribution #
options: 4 trades, +$1,620 (82% of gains)
SPX: 3 trades, +$1,180
QQQ: 1 trade, +$440
crypto: 1 trade, +$360 (18% of gains)
BTC: 1 trade, +$360
adjustment implemented: crypto 30%→20% allocation
the loss #
thursday june 26:
QQQ iron condor.
short put tested during afternoon sell-off.
closed for -$140 loss (smaller than usual).
result: loss management working.
closed early, didn’t let it run.
june final numbers #
week 1: +$2,680 (+0.58%)
week 2: +$2,340 (+0.51%)
week 3: +$2,180 (+0.47%)
week 4: +$1,980 (+0.42%)
june total: +$9,180 (+1.99%)
june target: +1.8% to +2.2%
result: TARGET HIT (mid-range)
comparing to target #
realistic june outcomes (from may 31):
normal month: +1.5% to +2.5%
june actual: +1.99%
result: solid mid-range performance
exactly what sustainable trading looks like.
ytd update #
jan: +$9,550 (+2.18%)
feb: +$8,920 (+1.99%)
mar: -$9,582 (-2.10%)
apr: +$9,732 (+2.18%)
may: +$3,840 (+0.84%)
jun: +$9,180 (+1.99%)
ytd total: +$31,640 (+7.22%)
annual pace: 14.4%
vs target: 15-18%
progress: closing gap, almost in target range
kelly sizing evaluation #
3 weeks of data:
high-confidence setups: +14% larger positions
marginal setups: -9% smaller positions
win rate on high-confidence: 91%
win rate on marginal: 74%
result: position sizing working as designed
will continue into july.
tonight (june 28, 2:16am) #
week 4 june done. +$1,980 (+0.42%) across 5 trades. 80% win rate. june total +$9,180 (+1.99%) - TARGET HIT. all 4 weeks profitable. ytd +$31,640 (+7.22%), annual pace 14.4% (closing gap to 15-18% target). kelly sizing validated (3 weeks data). account $469,440. month-end wrap tomorrow.
2:16am saturday. week 4 june. +$1,980 (+0.42%). june total +$9,180 (+1.99%) - target hit. 4/4 weeks profitable. ytd +$31,640 (+7.22%). annual pace 14.4% (vs target 15-18%). closing the gap. kelly sizing working. summer volume adjustments helping. month-end wrap tomorrow with full charts.
-AK