december.
final month.
year-end mode activated.
where we stand #
account: $517,640
ytd gain: +$79,040 (+18.19%)
annual pace: 19.8%
target: 15-18%
status: slightly ahead of target
december expectations #
factors:
- FOMC dec 17-18 (rate decision)
- holiday weeks (low volume)
- year-end flows (rebalancing)
- tax-loss harvesting (volatility)
realistic december outcomes:
mixed conditions: +0.5% to +1.5%
my target: +1.0% to +1.5%
the plan #
week 1 (dec 1-7): normal trading
week 2 (dec 8-13): position before FOMC + anniversary trip
week 3 (dec 15-21): FOMC week, careful sizing
week 4 (dec 22-28): holiday mode, light trading
week 5 (dec 29-31): year-end positioning, wrap-up
algo adjustments #
year-end mode:
- position sizing: -20% (holiday volatility)
- profit targets: tightened to 65% (take profits faster)
- no overnight holds dec 23-jan 2
FOMC mode:
- dec 16-18: reduced sizing
- no new positions day of decision
personal calendar #
dec 13-16: anniversary trip (big bear)
- algos will monitor
- no active trading
- A. still doesn’t know
dec 24-25: christmas in san diego
dec 31: new year’s eve (parents’ death anniversary)
- will probably take the day off
- three years since they died
- A. knows to give me space
tonight #
2:28am tuesday. december begins. final month. ytd +18.19%, targeting +1.0-1.5% in december. FOMC week, holidays, anniversary trip. year-end mode activated. 11 days until big bear surprise.
2:28am tuesday. december begins. account $517,640, ytd +18.19%. december target +1.0-1.5%. FOMC dec 17-18, holiday weeks ahead. year-end algo mode: -20% sizing, tighter profit targets. anniversary trip dec 13-16. A. still doesn’t know. 11 days until big bear.
-AK