Testing
march wrap - testing month, foundation built for Q2
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march done.
testing month complete.
foundation built for Q2.
march final numbers # starting (mar 1): $394,800
ending (mar 31): $395,900
week 3 march - still testing, patience required
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week 3 march done.
still testing adaptive strategy.
patience required.
week 3 trades (mar 18-22) # monday 3/18: 2 trades, 1 win. +$140
adaptive strategy testing - mixed results, learning curve
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week 1-2 march testing.
adaptive strategy live.
mixed results.
testing approach # week 1 (mar 4-8):
paper trading only.
testing momentum overlay - early results promising
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been running mean reversion strategies for 4 months.
works well. 87% win rate in july.
but: only trades when price reverts.
misses trending moves.
the idea # add momentum overlay to existing system.
ran walk-forward test - strategy holding up
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been profitable 3 months now.
wanted to verify i’m not just curve fitting.
ran walk-forward analysis this weekend.
what is walk-forward testing # normal backtest: