week 1 done.
holiday week complete.
modest gains as expected.
week 1 numbers #
starting (jul 1): $469,440
ending (jul 6): $470,680
week gain: +$1,240 (+0.26%)
trades: 3
wins: 3
losses: 0
win rate: 100%
trade breakdown #
tuesday jul 1:
SPX put spread opened, closed wednesday +$480 (50% profit target)
wednesday jul 2:
SPX call spread opened, closed thursday +$420 (approaching expiration)
thursday jul 3:
half day. QQQ put spread opened, closed same day +$340
friday jul 4:
markets closed. birthday.
conditions #
avg VIX: 14.6 (low, expected summer)
volume: thin (holiday week typical)
slippage: 2.4 ticks (elevated due to thin liquidity)
regime: stable low vol
only traded high-confidence setups.
rejected 2 marginal signals.
kelly sizing performance #
week 1 stats:
high-confidence trades: 3 (all winners)
marginal trades skipped: 2
decision validated.
thin holiday week = only best setups.
crypto update #
BTC: no trades (range-bound, thin volume)
ETH: no trades
week crypto p&l: $0
waiting for better conditions.
account status #
current: $470,680
ytd: +$32,880 (+7.50%)
july: +$1,240 (+0.26%)
vs target: on pace (+1.5% to +1.8% target)
week 2 expectations #
full trading week.
back to normal volume (post-holiday).
target: +$1,800 to +2,200
will add 1-2 crypto trades if BTC breaks range.
tonight #
week 1 july complete. +$1,240 (+0.26%) across 3 trades. 100% win rate but thin volume. holiday week = conservative. rejected 2 marginal setups. kelly sizing validated. no crypto trades. account $470,680, ytd +7.50%. full week ahead, target +$1.8k-2.2k.
2:22am sunday. week 1 july review. holiday week done. +$1,240 across 3 trades, all winners. thin volume = conservative. skipped 2 marginal setups. no crypto (waiting for range break). account $470,680, ytd +7.50%. week 2 should be fuller.
-AK