christmas week done.
paused dec 24-26 as planned.
small loss acceptable.
week 4 numbers #
starting (dec 23): $441,180
ending (dec 27): $439,920
week gain: -$1,260 (-0.29%)
trades: 3
wins: 1
losses: 2
win rate: 33%
pattern:
traded mon-tue (dec 23-24).
paused wed-fri (dec 25-27 christmas).
resumed friday afternoon (1 trade).
selective execution.
daily breakdown #
monday (dec 23): -$680, 1 trade, 0% wr
pre-christmas volatility.
stopped out.
tuesday (dec 24): +$340, 1 trade, 100% wr
christmas eve morning only.
paused 12pm for family time.
wednesday (dec 25): $0, 0 trades
christmas day - family time with A’s family.
thursday (dec 26): $0, 0 trades
boxing day - extended family time.
friday (dec 27): -$920, 1 trade, 0% wr
post-christmas resume.
single setup failed.
3 trades total vs normal 7-8.
discipline maintained.
december cumulative (4 weeks) #
week 1: -$820 (-0.18%)
week 2: -$1,760 (-0.40%)
week 3: -$2,340 (-0.53%)
week 4: -$1,260 (-0.29%)
december total: -$6,180 (-1.39%)
starting balance (dec 1): $446,100
current balance (dec 27): $439,920
ytd: +$73,720 (+20.1%)
christmas with A’s family #
christmas eve dinner:
A’s parents, brothers, my 2 UCSD friends.
her mom cooked everything (incredible food).
stayed overnight guest room.
christmas morning:
breakfast together.
gift exchange.
her parents gave me:
custom server rack shelf ($200 - researched what i needed).
didn’t expect gift.
means a lot.
what trading pause taught me #
tuesday (dec 24) decision:
market open 9:30am-1pm.
i could’ve traded full day.
chose:
1 trade morning, stopped 12pm.
family time > forcing trades.
old me (2023):
would’ve traded christmas eve full day.
avoided family time.
new me (2024):
chose family time.
growth.
comparing christmas 2023 vs 2024 #
christmas 2023:
alone in apartment.
A. visiting her family (not living together yet).
traded full day to avoid feeling.
lost $1,200.
christmas 2024:
engaged to A.
spent christmas with her family.
paused trading 3 days.
lost $1,260 (but didn’t force trades).
loss similar, experience completely different.
market conditions week 4 #
volume: 1.8M contracts avg (-50% vs nov)
christmas week = dead.
VIX: 18.4 avg (elevated)
correlation: 0.71 (very high)
regime confidence: 0.54 (lowest december)
conditions terrible.
pausing 3 days = correct decision.
circuit breaker status #
week 4:
not triggered.
not close.
max single loss: -$920 (friday)
threshold: -$1,500
well within range.
lessons week 4 #
1. family > forced trades
could’ve traded christmas eve/day/boxing day.
volume terrible, edge zero.
chose family time.
correct decision.
2. selective execution saves capital
3 trades vs forcing 10-15.
still lost but minimized.
filters working.
3. relationship changing priorities
2023: trading > everything.
2024: A’s family christmas > trading.
engaged = different priorities.
week 5 preview (new year’s week) #
expectations:
new year’s eve pause likely.
volume recovering slightly post-christmas.
realistic outcomes:
flat week (+0% to +0.5%) - possible.
small loss (-0.5% to -1%) - acceptable.
december will finish as losing month.
2024 annual still strong (+19-20%).
tonight (december 27, 11:52pm) #
week 4 done.
-$1,260 (-0.29%).
33% win rate across 3 trades.
paused dec 25-26 christmas.
traded only mon-tue + fri afternoon.
family time > forced trades.
december 4 weeks: -$6,180 (-1.39%).
ytd +$73,720 (+20.1%).
christmas with A’s family.
her parents gave me server rack shelf (researched what i needed).
means a lot.
growth.
11:52pm friday. week 4 december. -$1,260 (0.29%). 33% win rate across 3 trades. paused dec 25-26 christmas with A’s family. traded only mon-tue + fri afternoon (selective execution). december cumulative -$6,180 (1.39%) after 4 weeks. volume 1.8M avg christmas week (-50% vs nov). ytd +$73,720 (20.1%). her parents gave me server rack shelf (didn’t expect gift). chose family time over forcing trades. growth.
-AK