week 2 done.
consistency building.
no drama.
week 2 trades (jan 8-12) #
monday 1/8: 3 trades, 2 wins. +$1,240
tuesday 1/9: 4 trades, 3 wins. +$1,680
wednesday 1/10: 3 trades, 2 wins. +$980
thursday 1/11: 4 trades, 3 wins. +$1,820
friday 1/12: 3 trades, 3 wins. +$1,580
week total: +$7,300
account status #
jan 5: $373,400
jan 12: $380,700
january progress: +$14,500 (+3.96%)
two weeks crushing.
win rate maintaining #
week 2: 17 trades, 13 wins (76%)
week 1: 14 trades, 12 wins (86%)
combined january: 31 trades, 25 wins (81%)
slightly lower than week 1 but still solid.
expected regression from 86%.
75%+ is target. maintaining.
strategy performance #
mean reversion (12 trades):
- 10 wins, 2 losses (83%)
- net: +$5,640
- primary edge
momentum (5 trades):
- 3 wins, 2 losses (60%)
- net: +$1,660
- secondary, more selective
comparing to 2023 #
january 2024 (2 weeks): +$14,500, 81% win rate
november 2023 (best month): +$23,480, 84% win rate
on pace for: +$29k month if continues
realistic expectation: +$18-22k month (variance will hit)
what’s working #
1. routine locked
wake 4am every day.
trade 6:30am-10am.
breakfast with A. 10am.
code/strategy work 11am-5pm.
gym 6pm.
dinner with A. 7pm.
no variance. no chaos.
2. mental clarity maintained
no grief fog.
sharp focus.
quick decisions.
3. filters enforced
passed 12 potential trades this week.
estimated saves: ~$2,000.
patience paying off.
4. proper position sizing
0.5% risk every trade.
no exceptions.
no emotional adjustments.
therapy tuesday (1/9) #
dr. r: “two weeks into 2024. still feeling clear?”
me: “+$14.5k so far. 81% win rate. yeah, clear.”
dr. r: “any grief moments?”
me: “few. but manageable. background noise like you said.”
dr. r: “how do you handle them now?”
me: “pause. acknowledge. move on. don’t fight them.”
dr. r: “integration working.”
me: “also helps that trading is going well. easier to process grief when not stressed about account.”
dr. r: “chicken and egg. mental clarity enables good trading. good trading reduces stress. positive cycle.”
exactly.
living with A. - normalcy #
wednesday night:
A.: “you seem… lighter.”
me: “lighter how?”
A.: “less heavy. like december weight is gone.”
me: “processed the anniversary. feels different now.”
A.: “good different?”
me: “yeah. grief is still there. but it’s not crushing me.”
A.: “you’re sleeping better too. not tossing and turning.”
me: “didn’t realize you noticed.”
A.: “i notice everything.”
she does.
the places list #
friday night.
second strong week.
momentum building.
me: “list?”
A.: “you’re predictable.”
me: “you love it.”
A.: “i do. where?”
me: “car. parking lot overlook. ocean view. late night.”
A.: “beach parking lot? classy.”
me: “works though.”
places list updated: car, beach parking lot, ocean view, january night, windows fogged.
january target status #
original target: +$5-8k month
current (2 weeks): +$14,500
beat target already with 2.5 weeks left.
new projection: +$20-25k month if maintains.
risk management check #
no losing streaks.
longest: 1 loss, then win.
3-loss circuit breaker: not needed.
filters working.
position sizing consistent.
system functioning.
market conditions #
volume: normal
volatility: manageable (VIX 12-14)
setups: quality improving
best trading environment since september (before disaster).
what’s different from september #
september (before disaster):
- trading well
- overconfident
- ignored warning signs
- A. and i had issues brewing
january (now):
- trading well
- confident but cautious
- respecting filters
- A. and i solid
key: not repeating september mistakes.
success doesn’t mean invincible.
strategy adjustment consideration #
mean reversion: crushing it (83% week 2)
momentum: decent but choppy (60% week 2)
thinking: focus more on mean reversion through january.
momentum when setups perfect.
quality over quantity.
looking ahead #
week 3 (jan 15-19):
maintain consistency.
expect some losses (variance).
stay systematic.
monthly projection:
currently +$14.5k (2 weeks).
need +$5.5k more to hit +$20k month.
achievable.
tonight #
two weeks january.
+$14,500.
81% win rate.
no drama.
no chaos.
just consistent execution.
this is what works.
3:05am sunday. week 2 january. +$7,300. two weeks combined +$14.5k. 81% win rate. consistency building. no grief fog. routine locked. A. says i seem lighter. momentum maintaining.
-AK