week 4 done.
earnings week survived.
conservative approach paid off.
week 4 numbers #
starting (jul 21): $474,920
ending (jul 27): $476,720
week gain: +$1,800 (+0.38%)
trades: 4
wins: 4
losses: 0
win rate: 100%
trade breakdown #
options (4 trades): +$1,800
SPX: 2 trades, +$1,080
non-tech plays only
crypto (0 trades): $0
paused crypto during earnings chaos
earnings week adaptation results #
GOOGL/TSLA tuesday:
market gapped down 1.2% wednesday morning.
would have been stopped on 3 normal positions.
ran 0 positions. avoided $1,200+ potential loss.
META thursday:
beat expectations. market rallied.
my conservative sizing = smaller gains but protected downside.
net result:
reduced exposure = reduced gains but zero losses.
week 4 the slowest of july but cleanest.
conditions #
avg VIX: 17.2 (elevated from earnings)
volume: 4.1M contracts (earnings-driven spike)
slippage: 1.8 ticks (good liquidity from volume)
regime: transitioned to medium vol (VIX 15-20 range)
conservative wins #
what worked:
- paused trading tuesday afternoon through wednesday morning
- avoided QQQ entirely (too correlated to earnings names)
- focused on SPX only with 60% position sizes
- wider stops prevented early exits
what could’ve been better:
- missed thursday rally (was too conservative post-META)
- could have run 1 crypto trade friday (missed BTC move)
overall: protection > optimization during earnings.
account status #
current: $476,720
ytd: +$38,920 (+8.87%)
july: +$7,280 (+1.55%)
vs target: hit range (target +1.5% to +1.8%)
july target achieved with 3 trading days remaining.
rest of july expectations #
monday-wednesday (jul 28-30):
post-earnings normalization.
VIX should decline toward 15.
may run 2-3 more trades if conditions stabilize.
target: +$500 to +$1,000 (conservative finish)
tonight #
week 4 july complete. +$1,800 (+0.38%) across 4 trades. 100% win rate. earnings adaptation worked - avoided potential $1,200 loss by staying flat tuesday-wednesday. slowest week but cleanest. account $476,720, ytd +8.87%. july at +1.55%, target hit.
2:16am sunday. week 4 july review. earnings week survived. +$1,800 across 4 trades, all winners. conservative adaptation avoided major losses. paused crypto entirely. july target hit (+1.55%). account $476,720, ytd +8.87%.
-AK