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election day - pause executed

election day.

markets open.

i’m paused.

current status
#

balance: $445,200 (from fri nov 1 +$420)

today: watching, not trading

tomorrow (wed): assess and maybe resume

why this pause matters
#

2pm update:

SPX gapping around.

VIX swinging 18-22.

correlation spiking.

my algos don’t handle this.

they need:

  • stable regime (this isn’t)
  • predictable correlation (this isn’t)
  • normal market structure (this isn’t)

binary event = sit out.

comparing to those trading today
#

seeing on twitter:

some traders crushing it (+$5k, +$10k).

others getting destroyed (-$8k, -$12k).

gap risk unlimited both directions.

i’m okay missing both.

what i’m doing instead
#

monitoring:

VIX levels.

correlation patterns.

volume flows.

for tomorrow’s assessment.

also:

wedding planning emails (caterer sent menu options).

A. working on code at her desk.

normal tuesday except no trading.

ytd context
#

current: +21.7%

annual target: +15-18%

missing today: doesn’t matter

already above target by 3.7%.

protecting gains > gambling on election.

tonight quick update
#

election day paused as planned.

markets volatile AF.

some crushing, some destroyed.

i’m flat (correct decision).

tomorrow assessment.


2:20pm tuesday. election day. markets gapping, VIX swinging 18-22, correlation spiked. paused as planned. watching not trading. gap risk unlimited both ways. some traders +$10k, others -$12k today. i’m flat = correct. ytd +21.7% already above target. wed assessment.

-AK

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