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week 1 february - clean start, normal conditions continuing

week 1 february done.

clean start to new month.

normal conditions continuing.

week 1 performance
#

trades: 7

wins: 5

losses: 2

win rate: 71%

week gain: +$2,140 (+0.48%)

account: $449,490

ytd: +2.67%

trade breakdown
#

monday (jan 27): carried from last week

tuesday (jan 28): +$640 (ES momentum)

wednesday (jan 29): +$520 (SPX put spread)

thursday (jan 30): -$280 (stopped out BTC), +$480 (recovered ETH)

friday (jan 31): +$380 (QQQ call spread)

saturday (feb 1): +$740 (crypto weekend momentum)

sunday (feb 2): -$340 (ES reversal caught me)

71% win rate = textbook.

comparing january vs february start
#

january week 1: +$1,840 (71% wr)

february week 1: +$2,140 (71% wr)

pattern:

same win rate.

+$300 better performance.

consistent execution.

market conditions week 1
#

avg volume: 3.7M contracts

post-earnings normalization.

avg VIX: 16.4

back to optimal range.

avg correlation: 0.58

good diversification.

avg regime stability: 0.73

stable conditions.

conditions: normal.

no major earnings this week.

execution quality good.

slippage tracking
#

week 1 avg: 2.0 ticks

january avg: 2.1 ticks

improvement: -0.1 ticks

volume stable, spreads tight.

chicago colo advantage clear.

ytd progress
#

account jan 1: $437,800

account feb 2: $449,490

ytd gain: +$11,690 (+2.67%)

5 weeks complete.

on pace for +16-17% annual.

ahead of 15-18% target.

circuit breaker status
#

week 1: no triggers

ytd: 0 triggers

close calls: 0

largest loss: -$340 sunday

well below -$1,500 threshold.

recovered mentally same day.

philosophy working.

february expectations
#

realistic outcomes:

modest month: +1.5% to +2.5% ($6,700 to $11,200)

flat month: +0.5% to +1.2% ($2,200 to $5,400)

target: +1.8% to +2.2%

no major earnings this month.

valentine’s day week: may pause 1-2 days (A. priorities).

wedding countdown
#

wedding date: may 10, 2025

days remaining: 97 days (3 months, 1 week)

planning this week:

rehearsal dinner venue search.

honeymoon flights research (hawaii).

upcoming:

valentine’s day (feb 14).

first valentine’s engaged.

lessons week 1
#

1. post-earnings normalization

VIX back to 16.4 from 18+ january.

volume stable 3.7M.

edge restored.

2. 71% win rate sustainable

5 weeks ytd: consistent 67-75% range.

regression to mean validated.

3. wedding planning accelerating

97 days out = crunch time starting.

rehearsal dinner, honeymoon booking.

time commitment increasing.

4. ytd cushion comfortable

+2.67% in 5 weeks.

allows selective execution.

protecting gains > forcing trades.

tonight (february 2, 4:23am)
#

week 1 february done.

+$2,140 (+0.48%).

71% win rate across 7 trades.

ytd: +2.67%.

normal conditions.

wedding 97 days out.

execute system.


4:23am sunday. week 1 february complete. +$2,140 (0.48%) across 7 trades. 71% win rate = textbook. ytd +2.67% ($11,690 gain). post-earnings normalization: VIX 16.4, volume 3.7M stable. slippage 2.0 ticks. wedding may 10 now 97 days out (3 months, 1 week). rehearsal dinner venue search, honeymoon flights research. valentine’s first engaged. circuit breaker zero triggers. normal conditions continuing.

-AK

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