week 1 february done.
clean start to new month.
normal conditions continuing.
week 1 performance #
trades: 7
wins: 5
losses: 2
win rate: 71%
week gain: +$2,140 (+0.48%)
account: $449,490
ytd: +2.67%
trade breakdown #
monday (jan 27): carried from last week
tuesday (jan 28): +$640 (ES momentum)
wednesday (jan 29): +$520 (SPX put spread)
thursday (jan 30): -$280 (stopped out BTC), +$480 (recovered ETH)
friday (jan 31): +$380 (QQQ call spread)
saturday (feb 1): +$740 (crypto weekend momentum)
sunday (feb 2): -$340 (ES reversal caught me)
71% win rate = textbook.
comparing january vs february start #
january week 1: +$1,840 (71% wr)
february week 1: +$2,140 (71% wr)
pattern:
same win rate.
+$300 better performance.
consistent execution.
market conditions week 1 #
avg volume: 3.7M contracts
post-earnings normalization.
avg VIX: 16.4
back to optimal range.
avg correlation: 0.58
good diversification.
avg regime stability: 0.73
stable conditions.
conditions: normal.
no major earnings this week.
execution quality good.
slippage tracking #
week 1 avg: 2.0 ticks
january avg: 2.1 ticks
improvement: -0.1 ticks
volume stable, spreads tight.
chicago colo advantage clear.
ytd progress #
account jan 1: $437,800
account feb 2: $449,490
ytd gain: +$11,690 (+2.67%)
5 weeks complete.
on pace for +16-17% annual.
ahead of 15-18% target.
circuit breaker status #
week 1: no triggers
ytd: 0 triggers
close calls: 0
largest loss: -$340 sunday
well below -$1,500 threshold.
recovered mentally same day.
philosophy working.
february expectations #
realistic outcomes:
modest month: +1.5% to +2.5% ($6,700 to $11,200)
flat month: +0.5% to +1.2% ($2,200 to $5,400)
target: +1.8% to +2.2%
no major earnings this month.
valentine’s day week: may pause 1-2 days (A. priorities).
wedding countdown #
wedding date: may 10, 2025
days remaining: 97 days (3 months, 1 week)
planning this week:
rehearsal dinner venue search.
honeymoon flights research (hawaii).
upcoming:
valentine’s day (feb 14).
first valentine’s engaged.
lessons week 1 #
1. post-earnings normalization
VIX back to 16.4 from 18+ january.
volume stable 3.7M.
edge restored.
2. 71% win rate sustainable
5 weeks ytd: consistent 67-75% range.
regression to mean validated.
3. wedding planning accelerating
97 days out = crunch time starting.
rehearsal dinner, honeymoon booking.
time commitment increasing.
4. ytd cushion comfortable
+2.67% in 5 weeks.
allows selective execution.
protecting gains > forcing trades.
tonight (february 2, 4:23am) #
week 1 february done.
+$2,140 (+0.48%).
71% win rate across 7 trades.
ytd: +2.67%.
normal conditions.
wedding 97 days out.
execute system.
4:23am sunday. week 1 february complete. +$2,140 (0.48%) across 7 trades. 71% win rate = textbook. ytd +2.67% ($11,690 gain). post-earnings normalization: VIX 16.4, volume 3.7M stable. slippage 2.0 ticks. wedding may 10 now 97 days out (3 months, 1 week). rehearsal dinner venue search, honeymoon flights research. valentine’s first engaged. circuit breaker zero triggers. normal conditions continuing.
-AK